SHAKSPEAR RESSURCTED - TRUMP'S TARIFF TEMPEST!!!

    The Tariff Tempest: Navigating the Trumpian Storm

Satish Jha

A storm brews on the global horizon, its gales whipped up by a man who sees the world as a ledger to be balanced, a market to be muscled.

Donald Trump, with tariffs as his thunderbolts, has rattled the pillars of global trade in just seven months of his second term.

Over ninety nations quiver or bend, their economies bruised by the weight of his “Liberation Day” levies—10% to 50% tariffs, flung like edicts from a self-styled emperor.

China, ever the pragmatist, negotiates exemptions; Japan bows to the pressure, aligning with the Trumpian diktat. India and Brazil, defiant or perhaps unwise, raise their voices, only to find their cards dwindling in a game where the U.S. holds the deck.

This is no mere trade policy—it’s a tempest, reshaping alliances, economies, and the very rules that govern our world. How do we weather it? And what will remain when the storm passes by 2029?

Trump’s tariffs are not just economic tools; they are weapons of a small businessman’s instinct, wielding the might of the world’s largest market to arm-twist nations into submission.

He sees trade deficits as personal affronts, believing “smart” deal-making can bend the globe to his will. History, with its lessons of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act’s role in deepening the Great Depression, seems lost on him.

Economics, too, is a mystery he sidesteps, convinced that tariffs will spark an American renaissance while generating billions—$150 billion already collected, with projections soaring to $4 trillion over a decade.

Yet, the cost is steep: U.S. consumers face a $2,400 hit per household in 2025, supply chains choke, and global GDP falters, with the U.S. itself losing 0.36% of its economic output. The storm spares no one, not even its architect.

The world, caught in this gale, must choose its response. Some nations, like the EU and Japan, seek shelter in trade deals, trading sovereignty for stability. Others, like India, risk isolation by speaking out, potentially losing leverage in the great game of containing China.

Trump’s threats—nuclear submarines near Russia, secondary tariffs on India for buying Russian oil—reveal a transactional foreign policy where trade and defense are cudgels to enforce compliance. The BRICS bloc, battered by tariffs as high as 50% on Brazil and 125% on China, may find new resolve.

Trump’s pressure could forge BRICS into a tighter economic alliance, accelerating their push for alternative trade routes and a de-dollarized world. The Gulf states, already pivoting to Asia and the Global South, exemplify this shift, eyeing yuan-denominated energy trades to dodge the storm.

The Quad—India, Japan, Australia, and the U.S.—faces a reckoning. Trump’s unilateralism undermines its cohesion, as Japan and Australia, wary of economic fallout, align closer to U.S. demands. India’s defiance, coupled with its BRICS ties, may strain the alliance, potentially forcing a reorganization or even dissolution if the U.S. prioritizes bilateral deals over collective security.

International laws, once the bedrock of global order, now seem pliable, applied only to the weak. The World Trade Organization, already strained, struggles to counter Trump’s tariff onslaught, its relevance questioned as bilateralism trumps multilateralism.

At home, the Republican Party, once a bastion of free trade and fiscal restraint, has morphed into a herd following Trump’s lead. Why? Fear of his base, loyalty to his charisma, or perhaps a cynical bet on his economic gamble.

The U.S. Supreme Court, with its recent blessings, shields him from legal accountability, granting near-imperial powers. Four years of Democratic presidency failed to rein him in, not for lack of trying but because the system—polarized, sclerotic—could not muster the will or consensus to hold a man who thrives on chaos.

His family, weaving deals through backchannels, may indeed emerge as untouchable titans, their wealth insulated by a judiciary that bends to their patron.

So, how do we discern truth amid this tempest? Facts are buried under rhetoric, with Trump’s Truth Social posts proclaiming tariffs as America’s salvation while economists warn of recession.

The truth lies in the numbers—$486.7 billion in reduced U.S. imports, $451.1 billion in lost exports, and a global economy teetering on a rocky road. To navigate, the world must lean on pragmatism: diversify trade, as Canada and the Gulf states do; strengthen regional blocs like ASEAN and BRICS; and push for WTO reforms to restore order. Dialogue, not defiance, may blunt Trump’s ire, as China’s negotiations show.

By 2029, when Trump’s term ends, the fallout could be profound. A fragmented trade system, with new blocs like BRICS+ gaining clout, may challenge Western dominance.

The U.S. economy, battered by its own tariffs, risks stagflation or recession, with consumers and businesses bearing the brunt. Globally, supply chains may localize, and alliances may shift, with Europe and Asia forging ties to weather future storms. Trump, the great disruptor, may leave a world less tethered to American hegemony, richer in regional autonomy but poorer in cohesion.

To weather this storm, the world must be nimble—diversifying, negotiating, and building resilience. Trump’s tariffs are a gale, not an eternal tempest.

By 2029, the skies may clear, but the landscape will be irrevocably altered. For now, nations must batten down, seek shelter in new alliances, and wait for the winds to shift. The storm is here, but storms, however fierce, do pass.

Tariffs: The Art of Economic War Leaves India Reeling!!!

 Trump’s Tariff Blitz: The Art of Economic War Leaves India Reeling!!!

Biswanath Bhattacharya 

In an era where presidential bravado is measured not just in soundbites but in seismic policy shifts, Donald Trump’s latest tariff offensive is a masterclass in economic shock and awe—and an unambiguous signal that America’s trade playbook has changed forever. The world watched as Trump, derided for his “America First” rhetoric and pugnacious negotiation style, transformed protectionism from a relic of the past into the sharpest tool in the Oval Office arsenal. The results? A global chessboard realigned, trading partners stunned into compliance, and Wall Street’s pulse as steady as ever. But as the dust settles in global capitals, the clearest casualty emerges from the subcontinent: India, battered by Trump’s tariff fusillade and left scrambling for answers.

• Bending the World, Breaking India

Let’s set the stage: Trump’s tariff regime—once a modest 2.5%—has exploded to an average 20% across America’s trading spectrum, the highest in a century. China, Canada, the EU, and even Japan have felt the brunt. But instead of a tit-for-tat escalation, most have beaten a path to Washington with chequebooks in hand. Japan, eager to shield its manufacturing sector, inked a $550 billion investment promise for a 15% tariff reprieve. The EU, after months of wrangling, pledged $600 billion for similar mercy. Taiwan, staring down a 20% levy, is desperate to negotiate. The message is unmistakable: negotiate—or bleed.

Yet, when it comes to India, Trump’s approach is nothing short of punitive. A 50% tariff—doubling the already severe 25%—now hangs over $87 billion of Indian exports. Textiles, automotives, pharmaceuticals, seafood: no sector is spared. The rationale? India’s ongoing imports of Russian oil, a move that has infuriated Washington amid global efforts to isolate Moscow. But beneath the veneer of economic retaliation, a deeper game is afoot, one that intertwines trade, geopolitics, and the ever-present spectre of domestic American scandal.

• Wall Street Unmoved, Mumbai in Turmoil

If Trump’s intent was to shake markets, he failed—at least at home. The S&P 500 shrugged, the Dow Jones held steady, and investors cheered narrower trade deficits. But half a world away, the consequences are immediate and brutal. The BSE Sensex plummeted over 300 points within hours of the tariff announcement; the rupee, already fragile from pandemic aftershocks, sank further against the dollar. Exporters, especially in the small and medium enterprise (SME) sector, are bracing for order cancellations and razor-thin margins. Pharmaceutical giants, once heralded as the “pharmacy of the world,” now face headwinds in their largest market. The ripple effect threatens tens of thousands of jobs—a reality that no government press release can spin away.

• Scapegoat Diplomacy and the Shadow of Scandal

It’s impossible to separate Trump’s economic warfare from his perpetual need for political distraction. The tariff blitz against India comes on the heels of a diplomatic spat over claims of brokering peace between India and Pakistan, claims robustly denied by Prime Minister Narendra Modi and dismissed as political theatre. Critics in both Washington and New Delhi see the tariff escalation as a classic Trump manoeuvre: deflect attention from domestic quagmires (think Epstein files and unresolved investigations) by picking a high-profile international adversary.

The irony is bitter. While India is cast as the villain for buying Russian oil, Europe and the U.S. continue their own quiet imports. The selective outrage reeks of hypocrisy, underscoring the double standards that define Trump’s foreign policy. India’s Ministry of External Affairs, unusually blunt in its statement, condemned the tariffs as “unfair, unjustified, and unreasonable.” The subtext: America’s energy security is non-negotiable, but India’s can be sacrificed at the altar of presidential ambition.

• The Human Cost: Exporters on the Brink

Scroll past the headlines and the real victims emerge: India’s exporters, caught in an economic crossfire with little recourse. The textile sector, already squeezed by rising global cotton prices, now faces a 50% tariff wall. Auto suppliers, struggling to recover from chip shortages and supply chain disruptions, must now contemplate shuttered factories. Even seafood exporters—whose shrimp and fish once graced American supermarket shelves—are staring down mass layoffs. The pharmaceutical industry, long a source of affordable generics for American consumers, faces regulatory scrutiny and higher costs.

Early estimates suggest India’s GDP could contract by as much as 0.6%, a figure that translates into hundreds of thousands of lost jobs and billions in evaporated income. For a country where exports drive nearly 20% of the economy, Trump’s tariffs are more than punitive—they are existential.

• India’s Counteroffensive: Pragmatism Over Posturing

The temptation for reciprocal tariffs is strong. Congress MP Shashi Tharoor has already called for a matching 50% duty on U.S. goods if negotiations stall. But India’s response, so far, is measured, even strategic. Instead of tit-for-tat escalation, the government is pursuing a multi-pronged strategy. Sectoral support for MSMEs (micro, small, and medium enterprises) is being ramped up, with tax breaks and emergency credit lines. Limited market access in dairy products is being dangled before American negotiators—a carrot to offset the stick. And perhaps most importantly, India is pivoting toward branding and niche markets, seeking to reduce dependency on price-sensitive exports vulnerable to tariff shocks.

There is talk, too, of leveraging India’s vast domestic market. As Western companies look to diversify away from China, India’s 1.4 billion consumers are an increasingly attractive alternative. The government is keen to turn adversity into opportunity, positioning India as an indispensable node in global supply chains. Whether this will be enough to offset the pain of lost exports remains uncertain.

• Geopolitics in the Age of Trump: Realignment or Rupture?

Trump’s tariff blitz is more than a trade war—it’s a recalibration of global power relationships. By forcing major economies to negotiate on his terms (and pocketing billions in the process), he has rewritten the rules of engagement. But such victories come with strings attached. America’s allies, battered but compliant, may play ball today—but resentment festers. The EU’s $600 billion pledge masks deep divisions over agricultural quotas and digital taxes. Japan’s $550 billion investment is a short-term fix for a long-term problem. Even China, after a flurry of negotiations, remains wary of Washington’s unpredictability.

For India, the stakes are even higher. Caught between its strategic partnership with the U.S. and its need for energy security, New Delhi faces choices that will shape its economic and diplomatic future. The tariff war is a test not just of resilience, but of vision—can India chart a course that preserves sovereignty without succumbing to isolation?

• Trump’s Win, India’s Wounds

As the dust settles, one truth becomes clear: Trump is winning, at least for now. America’s trade deficit is shrinking, foreign investment is pouring in, and global markets remain remarkably stable. But the price is paid not in Washington, but in Mumbai, New Delhi, and thousands of export-driven towns across India. The pain is immediate, the wound deep.

Whether Trump’s tariff blitz heralds a new era of American-led protectionism or is merely a volatile flashpoint in the annals of trade history remains to be seen. What is certain, however, is that India is left to pick up the pieces—an economic powerhouse knocked off balance by a president who plays hardball, and rarely loses.

In the end, Trump’s tariff strategy may be remembered as the moment America bent the world to its will. But for India, it marks a reckoning: a reminder that in the high-stakes game of global politics, even giants can bleed.

Game of Tariffs - Trump Offensive & India's Passive Response

 A Strategic Sabotage: The Tariff Offensive and India’s Mismanaged Diplomatic Script

By Dr. Suresh Deman
Honorary Director, Centre for Strategic Affairs, London

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In the turbulent theatre of modern geopolitics, tariffs are no longer mundane instruments of trade policy—they have become strategic weapons of coercion. Donald Trump’s imposition of escalating tariffs on Indian exports—first 25%, then 50%—was not rooted in trade imbalances or economic logic. It was a calculated manoeuvre of economic aggression, aimed at forcing asymmetric concessions while concealing self-interest behind populist rhetoric. It was a textbook case of strategic sabotage disguised as transactional diplomacy.

And India—rather than resisting—played along with theatre and illusion.

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From Houston to Ahmedabad: The Optics of Deference

At the “Howdy Modi” rally in Houston in 2019, Prime Minister Narendra Modi did the unthinkable in modern diplomacy—publicly endorsed Trump’s re-election bid with the slogan: “Abki Baar, Trump Sarkar.” Months later, India rolled out the red carpet for Trump in Ahmedabad with a stadium of chants and cultural displays. The diplomatic script was heavy on spectacle but light on strategy.

While the visuals suggested a deepening bond, the reality was far harsher: Trump imposed punitive tariffs, threatened sanctions for oil purchases from Russia, and continued to pressure India to buy American defense hardware—all while quietly expanding his own business interests in Indian cities like Pune and Mumbai. The asymmetry was glaring, yet largely unchallenged.

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Game Theory in Geopolitics: A Repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma

This imbalance is best understood through the lens of game theory, particularly the repeated prisoner’s dilemma. In this framework, two players (India and the U.S.) repeatedly choose between cooperation (mutual benefit) or defection (one-sided gain).

Trump’s tariffs, demands for defense deals, and threats of sanctions were consistent defections—moves that maximized U.S. gain at India's expense. India, instead of retaliating or leveraging multilateral forums, responded with continued cooperation, hoping to preserve long-term goodwill.

But in repeated games, if one player continues to defect while the other cooperates, it leads to a predictable outcome: the cooperating player is systematically exploited. India’s foreign policy, lacking credible retaliation mechanisms—like China’s critical mineral leverage—left it unable to shift the game dynamic. Trump was betting and bowling, while India was merely fielding, trying not to concede too many runs.

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A Deal That Never Was

Trump’s negotiation style—“take my goods at 0%, buy my planes at 30%, invest in America, and shut up about sovereignty”—was not a diplomatic overture but an ultimatum. A deal under such conditions was structurally impossible. It was never about compromise; it was about coercion.

The Modi government, chasing photo-ops and slogans, misjudged this reality. Instead of recalibrating strategy, it continued the charade—burning diplomatic capital and public resources in a game rigged from the start.

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Strategic Drift and Eroded Autonomy

India’s once-prized strategic autonomy has been slowly eroded. Its relationship with Russia—a historic pillar of foreign policy—has been reduced to transactional oil and arms deals conducted under U.S. scrutiny. Despite Russia’s willingness to develop new BRICS financial mechanisms and de-dollarised trade, India remained passive, hedging instead of leading.

Meanwhile, China—with its 40% savings rate, dominant state-owned enterprises, and aggressive diversification into Southeast Asia—has built the kind of strategic leverage India lacks. Xi Jinping’s outreach to Vietnam, Indonesia, and even Japan and South Korea shows a multipronged, long-term vision. India, by contrast, has clung to the hope that balancing multiple powers without making commitments would suffice.

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U.S. Foreign Policy and Global Risk

The Trump-era U.S. foreign policy was a mix of isolationism and brinkmanship. Nuclear arms control treaties were discarded. Trade was weaponised. Allies were humiliated. This strategy—epitomised by the tariff blitz against India—elevated unpredictability into doctrine.

India, rather than asserting leadership in non-aligned nuclear diplomacy or WTO reform, largely capitulated—reaffirming its role as a rule-taker, not a rule-maker.

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Diaspora Mirage and Partisan Traps

The Indian diaspora in the U.S., swayed by identity and visibility, offered vocal support to Trump, mistaking proximity for influence. Their blind loyalty, captured in Modi’s slogan in Houston, overlooked the structural damage Trump's policies inflicted on India’s economy and global standing. Diaspora euphoria replaced strategic clarity.

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Institutional Breakdown: Where Is the Foreign Ministry?

Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar—once seen as the brain of Indian diplomacy—has been sidelined. India’s external affairs apparatus has become a stage for statecraft-as-spectacle. Strategic thinking has been replaced with PR management.

The absence of institutional checks and the over-centralisation of foreign policy in the Prime Minister’s Office has eroded India’s credibility. Allies are unsure, adversaries emboldened.

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Silence Is Not Strategy

Since 2014, Prime Minister Modi has not held a single unscripted press conference. This isn’t just a political oddity—it’s a democratic liability. In moments of crisis, public accountability is not optional. As tariffs bite, supply chains strain, and alliances wobble, India needs clarity—not charisma.

A press conference is not a threat—it is a necessity. India’s electorate, business community, and global partners deserve real answers, not choreographed monologues.

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Time for Strategic Reset

If India is to reclaim agency, it must shift gears:

• End passive diplomacy: Recalibrate foreign policy toward Eurasia, diversify alliances, and leverage BRICS platforms to shape global norms.

• Play strategically: Use multilateral forums like the WTO to challenge tariff aggression and trade coercion.

• Build economic leverage: Invest in critical technologies and supply chains to reduce dependency and enhance bargaining power.

• Restore institutional diplomacy: Empower professional diplomats and reduce personality-driven foreign policy.

• Demand leadership accountability: The Prime Minister must face the press—and the people—with courage and transparency.

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Final Reckoning: Speak or Be Sidelined

Trump’s tariff war was not about trade. It was about testing India’s resolve. India failed that test—not because of weak fundamentals, but because of weak strategy and silence.

In the repeated prisoner’s dilemma of global diplomacy, consistent cooperation without consequences for defection ensures permanent disadvantage. India must break that cycle—not with anger, but with clarity, cohesion, and courage.

The unipolar world is gone. What comes next will be defined not by slogans but by substance.

The time for the theatre is over. Prime Minister Modi must speak—not in applause lines, but in strategy.

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Dr. Suresh Deman is Honorary Director at the Centre for Strategic Affairs, London. He has served as a consultant to UNEP and UNCTAD and writes on global economics, diplomacy, and democratic governance.

Jeffrey Sachs and the Search for a Safer World

 Jeffrey Sachs and the Search for a Safer World

To be an enemy of the United States is dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal

By Prof. Suresh Deman*

Centre for Strategic Affairs, London

These chilling words, famously uttered by Henry Kissinger and echoed by Professor Jeffrey Sachs, capture the underlying message of one of the most arresting public conversations on geopolitics in recent memory. Sachs, speaking as part of The Saxophone series—an initiative aptly named to give voice to resonant truths—laid bare the state of the world and the crises at its core: U.S. hegemony, democratic decay, environmental peril, and the fracture of global cooperation.

In this wide-ranging, candid exchange, Sachs brought not just knowledge but conviction. His “Sachs Doctrine” stands diametrically opposed to the so-called “Washington Consensus.” Rather than dictate terms from a single capital, Sachs argues for adherence to a global consensus, forged in 2015 through the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement. But that consensus, he warns, is crumbling, led by the very nation that once claimed to champion international norms: the United States.

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America’s One-Man Show: Governance by Decree

The heart of Sachs's alarm lies in what he calls America’s “one-man show.” The U.S. president, through executive orders cloaked in emergency powers, has declared trade wars and foreign policy shifts without debate or Congressional oversight. Sachs notes that the U.S. Constitution’s carefully constructed system of checks and balances is now being bypassed. The result? Governance by fiat. “If we had the Indian Supreme Court,” Sachs quipped, “I wouldn’t worry.” But the American judiciary, in his view, may not have the courage—or independence—to hold the presidency accountable.

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Divide, Conquer, and Use: The Empire’s Playbook

Prof. Sachs minced no words in warning India: “The U.S. wants to use India to beat up China.” This, he claims, is the classic imperial tactic of “divide and conquer,” inherited directly from the British Empire. That's how Empires behave, and that's what the US learned from the master Empire of all the British, and we still try to apply it, so the U.S loves for India to be in the QUAD. It wants India to bash China,  I heard some Indian politicians recently saying, no, it's not Donald Trump's trade policy. It's all because of China. No, not exactly. It's actually because of Donald Trump, so just be careful not to play the game. This is really a U.S game, India's too big for a U.S game. Anchoring Palki Uppdhayay abruptly remarked, "The advice is well taken. Maybe India also wants to beat up China, but on its own terms."  Prof. Sachs responded, "India, the world's most populous country, must resist playing junior partner in America’s geopolitical games. “You are an alliance in and of yourself,” Sachs declared, asserting that India’s civilizational maturity and strategic autonomy must guide its path—not alignment with power blocs.

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On Ukraine, Taiwan, and the U.S. War Machine

The war in Ukraine, Sachs argued, was avoidable. It stems, in his telling, not from unprovoked aggression but from decades of NATO expansion right to Russia’s borders. “I was there,” he said, recalling his time as an advisor to President Gorbachev. “The U.S. promised not to expand NATO—and then lied.”

Could Trump end the war? Possibly, Sachs admitted. “If he simply says NATO won’t expand to Ukraine, it’s over.” But the political will for peace, Sachs suggests, is secondary to the U.S. drive for global military presence, from Ukraine to Taiwan. “If Taiwan thinks the U.S. will save it, God help us,” he warned. Echoing the lessons of Ukraine, Sachs described U.S. promises as “fatal” for small nations caught in the crossfire of empire.

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India’s Role: From Balancer to Peacemaker

What then is India’s place in this unfolding drama? Sachs sees India as a stabilizing force and a natural candidate for permanent membership on the U.N. Security Council. He has a suggestion—one he offers as a “little secret”: “Ask China to support your seat. It’s good for India, it’s good for China, and it’s good for the world.”

In a time of global volatility, Sachs finds hope in India’s democracy, its peaceful elections, and its message at the G20: “The world is one family.” With 600 million voters participating in a largely peaceful election, India has demonstrated the kind of civic strength that Sachs believes is sorely missing in many Western capitals.

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Can Globalization Survive American Neurosis?

Sachs is not anti-American. He is an American who believes his country has lost its way. “The U.S. expected to be number one forever,” he said. “It’s a neurosis. And it will come to resent India too, once you overtake it.” But the rise of Asia, led by India and China, is not a threat—it is the inevitable correction of centuries of distortion. Sachs implores these nations to work together, settle differences, and avoid being drawn into proxy conflicts for declining powers.

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On AI, Peace, and the Future

In a final flourish, Sachs even found time to endorse artificial intelligence, specifically for its ability to show both sides of an argument. “ChatGPT,” he said, “would give you a better answer than the U.N. Security Council. At least it shows multiple perspectives. Unlike Washington, where there’s only one narrative.”

This wasn’t just wit. It was a message: If we start by listening to one another, we may yet avoid catastrophe.

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The Final Note: A Prescription for a World in Crisis

Jeffrey Sachs is not offering a conspiracy theory. He is offering a deeply informed analysis drawn from decades of experience advising leaders across continents. He is calling for a return to diplomacy, humility, and multilateralism in a time when bombs and executive orders dominate the headlines.

This conversation—this Saxophone—was not just a performance. It was a call to reason and to action.

In a world teetering between cooperation and collapse, Sachs’ message resonates like a clear note in the din of geopolitics: There is still time to choose peace.

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* Artisle is based on Prof Sachs' many lectures and the author's own views. Prof. Suresh Deman is Director of the Centre for Strategic Affairs, London. He has advised governments on economic and geopolitical policy and writes regularly on international relations and political economy.

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India’s Foreign Policy Folly: Learning the Wrong Lessons from the West

 India’s Foreign Policy Folly: Learning the Wrong Lessons from the West

By Prof. Suresh Deman

Centre for Strategic Affairs, London

Parliament in Session 2025

In the recent political discourse, the contrast between Priyanka Gandhi (Vadra) and Rahul Gandhi was striking. Priyank’s delivery was composed and substantive; Rahul, on the other hand, came across as angry and overly reactive. His rhetoric, while passionate, seemed to lack strategic grounding, especially on matters as delicate as foreign policy.

Rahul’s decision to intertwine China and Pakistan — accusing Beijing of aligning with Islamabad during the recent crisis — was not only diplomatically unwise but factually unsubstantiated. China's official posture was one of neutrality. There’s little evidence to suggest Beijing offered logistical or material support to Pakistan. In fact, Xi Jinping has made overtures toward restoring dialogue with India — efforts that have been largely ignored by both the current Modi government and Congress leadership alike.

Looking back, there is very little to distinguish the foreign policies of the Congress-led UPA and the current BJP administration. Both have been excessively preoccupied with countering China, adopting confrontational strategies that have undercut India's long-term regional interests. India’s active participation in QUAD military exercises and its growing proximity to the U.S. military posture in the South China Sea have significantly eroded the goodwill that once existed between New Delhi and Beijing.

India’s missteps are emblematic of a broader misunderstanding of global power dynamics. During the Biden administration’s intervention in Syria and Iraq, an American analyst famously remarked, “America has no friends, only interests.” This stark realism should have served as a warning. Back in 1991, Noam Chomsky captured U.S. foreign policy with brutal clarity in an article for The Guardian, summarizing it as: “We are your masters. You shine our shoes, and weaker enemies will be crushed so that the right lessons are taught.” India, rather than learning from this, appears to be parroting the same flawed logic.

The Modi government’s approach exemplifies this trend. His extravagant embrace of Donald Trump — including the controversial “Abki Baar, Trump Sarkar” endorsement — was a geopolitical gamble that backfired. Trump lost, and India was left diplomatically exposed. The stadium hastily renamed for the visit — from Dhyanchand to “Motera” — symbolised not strength but submission to transient political trends.

Even experienced diplomats like S. Jaishankar, now lauded as a strategic thinker, have failed to shift course. Despite his bureaucratic acumen, he remains more of a pencil-pusher than a visionary leader. What India needed — and still needs — is a foreign policy grounded in realism, self-respect, and strategic autonomy. When President Xi extended a diplomatic hand to Modi to jointly resist Western tariffs, India should have stood firm as an equal, rather than waiting for handouts from Washington.

India must now reassess its global posture. The world is not unipolar anymore. In a time of shifting alliances and crumbling Western dominance, blind alignment with U.S.-led strategies will only constrain India’s options. What’s required is a strategic recalibration — one that respects historical ties, values regional stability, and recognises that sovereignty begins with independence in thought, not just territory

A LOVE LETTER AMIDST WAR - INDIA_PAKISTAN

In the Shadow of Mustard Fields: A Love Letter Amidst War!!!

Biswanath Bhattacharya

It was 1971. Although the drums of formal war had yet to sound, Tripura pulsed with the restless heartbeat of conflict. Everywhere, the air shimmered with tension—a tapestry woven from the threads of anticipation and dread. I was then a youth of twenty-one, wandering the familiar lanes of my beloved alma mater, NC Institution, a place as dear to me as the laughter of childhood. The school itself had taken on new life in Madhuban—a name that bloomed poetry on the tongue, promising a sanctuary of beauty. Deep forests pressed close on every side, and the institution, like a crown, rested atop a gentle hillock. But war, ever the thief of innocence, had claimed the hillock for its own. The Indian Army had set up camp there, and suddenly our school grounds became a shared world, where the promise of learning intertwined with the harsh cadence of marching boots.

One afternoon, as golden sunlight filtered through the latticework of teak leaves, I strolled beneath the canopy, lost in thought. The air was perfumed with earth and distant gun oil. A voice beckoned from among the trees—a Sikh 2nd lieutenant, his beard thick and his eyes kind, reclining against the bark as if seeking refuge from the world’s troubles. He was a friend to us, the teachers and the students, and his presence was as reassuring as the steady rhythm of the monsoon. He waved me over and, with a conspiratorial smile, pressed a folded paper into my hand. “Read this, sir,” he urged, his eyes gleaming with something both bright and vulnerable.

The letter was a whisper from another world—neat, feminine handwriting, delicate as the veins of a leaf. It began, “My dearest Harjeet,” and was signed with all the tenderness of a spring breeze: “Your Paramita.” Embarrassment flickered in my chest, chased by curiosity—why offer up one’s private heart to another, unless the burden of love was too heavy to bear alone?

“It is from my fiancée,” he explained, his voice a river running deep with longing. “She lives far away in Punjab. Our wedding was meant for this year, but war has shuffled the cards of fate. Each week she writes, and I answer. She is the sun to my sky, sir—the kindest, wisest soul I know. A teacher, like those of NCI, she brings English to the lips of little girls and poetry to their hearts. She is music itself, sir, and I am hers.”

His words spilt forth, bright as fireworks against the night, and I found myself swept up in their light. Here was a man in love, yet shackled by the demands of duty—a soul straddling two worlds: one built of devotion, the other of danger. In the crucible of war, Paramita’s letters were his amulet, casting a circle of hope against the encroaching darkness.

“She sent me this, too,” he said, producing a wristwatch as if unveiling a relic. The leather strap was supple as devotion, the silver dial gleaming with promise. On the back, a tender engraving: “To Harjeet, with love, Paramita.” Tears threatened my composure—a lump blooming in my throat like a stone dropped into still water. The watch was more than metal and glass; it was a timekeeper for their hearts, ticking away the moments until reunion, or perhaps until farewell.

“She writes that she loves me more than life itself,” he breathed, voice trembling between pride and sorrow. “She prays for me, waits for me, trusts me. Every day, she hopes.” His face was a canvas of contradictions: happiness and grief, gratitude and anxiety, hope and dread—a man balanced on the sharp edge of fate.

“Sir, if I fall—should I not return—promise me you’ll write to her. Tell her I loved her, till the very end. Tell her I died for her, for our land. Tell her I am sorry, and that her happiness is my last wish. Promise you’ll carry my words to her heart.”

His eyes, wide as dusk, searched mine for the assurance he needed. The oath I swore then was forged in the quiet forge of friendship, hammered by empathy and respect. “Yes, Harjeet,” I whispered, “I give you my word. But I pray you will need no messenger. I hope you return, marry her, and wrap the years around you both like a silken shawl. May peace return, and may you walk together in sunlight once more.”

His smile was a sunrise, fragile and luminous. He embraced me, urging me to watch over the school, the teachers, the children, the trees—all the little worlds that war threatened to swallow. “I will come back, sir. For her. For you.”

Fragments of Paramita’s letter floated through my mind—stories of running together through mustard fields, memories like sheets of gold unfurling beneath the June sun, the air a river of molten honey. The thrill of it rang through me like the clear note of a flute. She spun tales of sugarcane groves where ghosts wandered the wind, spirits caught in the sweet cages of stalks, tallying their silent numbers against the living—souls weighed down by the laws of men, by the unseen hands of distant emperors.

By the end, my cheeks were damp with tears that shimmered like morning dew. The officer, too, was weeping quietly—two hearts adrift on tides of longing and fear. I was young then, scarcely beyond the threshold of adolescence, and in that hour I learned the true shape of love—a force that could make the bravest warrior weep.

I promised to meet him again the next day. But when I arrived, he was gone, swept away with his unit toward the border, into the maw of uncertainty. I watched them vanish, each step echoing into the unknown. Night fell, and with it, the thunder of artillery—a requiem for dreams left unfinished. Perhaps our young Lochinvar had been summoned to the final field, his fate sealed by the indifferent dice of war.

In the quiet that followed, I found myself wishing for Paramita’s next life to hold him close once more. For isn’t life the blossom, and love its honey? To be loved deeply is to find strength; to love deeply is to discover courage. Love is the pulse that grants us true life, the only treasure we never tire of giving or receiving.

As I pen these words, my eyes are once again pools of memory, brimming with tears that catch the fractured light. The eyes—those fathomless oceans—harbor stories too sacred for the tongue, tides of longing swirling in their depths. Every tear, a pearl cradling the universe in its fragile curve, glimmers with the ache of absence and the radiance of love cherished. These tears, these silent jewels, are born of agony and hope, binding together what was lost and what endures.

And so, in the shadow of mustard fields and the echo of promises, this story drifts—an unspoken letter, folded within the heart, waiting for peace, for reunion, for dawn.

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THREE TRILLION ECONOMY – YET MONSOON FLOODS UNCONTROLLED!

HEADLINE: THREE TRILLION ECONOMY – YET MONSOON FLOODS UNCONTROLLED!

India’s Development Tale Drowned in Drain Water – Jagatpura a Case in Point

By Prof. Suresh Deman

Centre for Strategic Affairs, London

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JAIPUR | SPECIAL REPORT – India boasts a $3.7 trillion economy, rockets into space, builds bullet trains, and signs mega defence deals. Politicians from both the Congress and BJP thump chests over GDP growth numbers — from 9.5% highs in 2009 to current IMF forecasts painting India as a global growth engine. But come monsoon, this ‘rising superpower’ collapses under rainwater and neglect

Welcome to Jagatpura, Jaipur — a rapidly urbanising neighbourhood that resembles a war zone every July. Incessant rains have flooded over 37 homes, drowned vehicles, cut off access to basic services, and forced children and the elderly to wade through knee-deep sewage. “Every monsoon, we relive the same nightmare. We pay taxes, but the roads pay us back with broken promises,” says a frustrated resident.

Despite decades of alternating Congress and BJP rule, and despite India's celebrated economic leap, the lived reality for ordinary citizens has changed little. Jagatpura is not an isolated case — it is the mirror India must dare to face.

GDP Rises, But So Do Waters

The 2004–2014 UPA era was celebrated for growth, but ended with GDP dipping to 4%. BJP, since 2014, has continued the rhetoric, garnished with global praise from the IMF and World Bank, partly to project a counterbalance to China. But on the ground, the floodwaters speak a different truth. Nobel laureate Amartya Sen once called India’s growth “jobless” — but he may as well have called it “hopeless” for those who drown in preventable disasters.

A "Hell for the Poor" – Broken Promises, Broken Roads

The Jagatpura catastrophe exemplifies what many Indians experience every monsoon: poor planning, blocked drains, and negligent urbanisation. A cluster of 12 newly built skyscrapers for railway employees, dangerously close to the railway platform, now poses a risk of collapse in heavy rains. Despite court stays, media coverage, representations to JDA, Chief Ministers, and ministers, the response from the authorities has been a resounding silence.

“It’s not waterlogging — it’s State apathy flooding our lives,” a resident laments, pointing toward overflowing drains and cracked roads. The area has turned into a breeding ground for disease, and the safety of children and elderly is severely compromised.

China Fixed It in the 70s – Why Can’t India in 2025?

India-China comparisons are misleading. While India struggles with drainage, China conquered natural disasters, achieved mass literacy, and provided free healthcare fifty years ago. Today, India builds smart cities — but can't build drains in a posh Jaipur locality.

In response to an American friend’s query — "How is life in India?" — my honest reply was, “Heaven for the rich, hell for the poor.” That line may now need updating: It’s hell even for the middle class when the skies open.

Enough is Enough – Time to Drain the Corruption

What keeps Jagatpura underwater is not rain but systemic corruption and official inertia. Nothing moves without “material incentives,” say residents, and the Jaipur Development Authority (JDA) has allegedly turned a blind eye to repeated pleas and protests.

The government must act now. Urban planning cannot be a joke in the age of climate change. Safety is not a privilege — it is a right. If a $3 trillion economy cannot ensure drainage and basic infrastructure, what is the growth for, and for whom?

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Call to Action:

Prime Minister Modi, Chief Minister Bhajan Lal Sharma, JDA officials — are you listening? Before another child slips, another wall collapses, or another home becomes a pond, it’s time to act. A flood is coming — not of water, but of public outrage.

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For further updates, photos, and citizen videos from Jagatpura, follow our special coverage on social media @IndiaUndrenched.